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aditya gupta India

Build an Evidence-Backed Decision Brief with ChatGPT

Turn a collection of documents, reports, spreadsheets, and notes into an evidence-backed decision brief with ChatGPT. Instead of asking AI to simply summarize the information, this workflow makes it identify what matters, connect the evidence, compare it with historical context, explore scenarios, and highlight what should be considered before making a decision. Step-by-step: 1. I gather the information relevant to one decision, including reports, PDFs, spreadsheets, research, historical data, meeting notes, and existing analysis. I upload everything into ChatGPT. 2. I ask ChatGPT to understand the situation using this prompt: > “Analyze the information I provided and build a structured understanding of the situation. Identify the key entities, important facts, relationships, metrics, trends, assumptions, and constraints. Do not make recommendations yet.” This creates the context before jumping to conclusions. 3. I build an evidence brief by asking: > “Create an evidence brief. Separate verified facts, derived insights, assumptions, conflicting information, and missing information. For every important conclusion, identify the supporting source or evidence.” This gives me a clearer picture of what is known versus what is inferred. 4. I add historical context when it is available by asking: > “Compare the current situation with the historical information provided. Identify meaningful patterns, similarities, differences, and changes. Highlight which historical observations could be relevant to the current decision.” This turns historical data into context rather than simply another report. 5. I explore three scenarios by asking ChatGPT: > “Based on the evidence and historical context, evaluate three scenarios: upside, base case, and downside. For each scenario, identify the assumptions, key drivers, risks, likely impact, and evidence supporting the assessment.” The objective isn't to pretend the future can be predicted perfectly. It is to understand how the decision changes when assumptions change. 6. I generate the decision brief by asking: > “Create a concise decision brief containing: > > 1. Current situation > 2. Most important evidence > 3. Key insights > 4. Historical context > 5. Critical assumptions > 6. Key risks > 7. Scenario analysis > 8. Evidence gaps and uncertainties > 9. Questions that should be investigated > 10. Possible actions and their implications. > Do not make the final decision on my behalf.” This produces a structured decision brief instead of another AI-generated summary. 7. I review the brief and challenge its conclusions before making the decision. I ask follow-up questions such as: > “Which assumption has the greatest impact on this decision?” > “Show me the strongest evidence against the current conclusion.” > “What information would most likely change the recommendation?” The AI helps structure the decision, but I make the decision. The important shift is: Summarize the informationUnderstand the situationEstablish the evidenceAdd historical contextExplore scenariosEvaluate the decision This approach can be applied to almost any domain where decisions depend on complex and interconnected information. A property investment is one example. A business strategy, product decision, operational problem, financial analysis, research question, or engineering decision can follow the same pattern.

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